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  • Both candidates claim lead in popular votes
  • Obama also is likely to win South Dakota and Oregon. Even if Clinton won all the other contests left — Indiana, West Virginia, Kentucky, Montana, Puerto Rico and Guam — they are smaller contests that will make it difficult for her to catch back up
  • Clinton survives another day
  • She also has a chance in Guam, Puerto Rico, Montana and Indiana. But none of them are likely to give her a big enough margin to put her over Obama. To win, she needs to convince voters that Obama is not electable in November even though he's ahead in ...

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